Given a quantum state $\rho_A$ chosen uniformly at random from a set of $N$ mixed states $\rho_1 ... \rho_N$, what is the maximum average probability of correctly identifying $A$?
This problem can be turned into a two state distinguishability problem by considering the problem of distinguishing $\rho_A$ from $\rho_{B} = \frac{1}{N-1}\sum_{i\neq A}\rho_i$.
I know for two quantum states the problem has a nice solution in terms of the trace distance between the states when you minimize the maximum probability of error rather than the minimizing the average probability of error, and I was hoping that there might be something similar for this case. It is of course possible to write the probability in terms of an optimization over POVMs, but I am hoping for something where the optimization has already been performed.
I know there is a huge literature on the distinguishability of quantum states, and I've been reading through a lot of papers over the last few days trying to find the answer to this question, but I'm having trouble finding the answer to this particular variation of the problem. I'm hoping someone who knows that literature better can save me some time.
Strictly speaking, I don't need the exact probability, a good upper bound would do. However, the difference between any one state and the maximally mixed state is quite small, so the bound would have to be useful in that limit.