In the 1980s, Razborov famously showed that there are explicit monotone Boolean functions (such as the CLIQUE function) that require exponentially many AND and OR gates to compute. However, the basis {AND,OR} over the Boolean domain {0,1} is just one example of an interesting gate set that falls short of being universal. This leads to my question:
Is there any other set of gates, interestingly different from the monotone gates, for which exponential lower bounds on circuit size are known (with no depth or other restrictions on the circuit)? If not, is there any other set of gates that's a plausible candidate for such lower bounds---bounds that wouldn't necessarily require breaking through the Natural Proofs barrier, as Razborov's monotone-circuits result didn't?
If such a gate set exists, then certainly it will be over a k-ary alphabet for k≥3. The reason is that, over a binary alphabet, the
(1) monotone gates ({AND, OR}),
(2) linear gates ({NOT, XOR}), and
(3) universal gates ({AND, OR, NOT})
basically exhaust the interesting possibilities, as follows from Post's classification theorem. (Note that I assume that constants---0 and 1 in the binary case---are always available for free.) With the linear gates, every Boolean function f:{0,1}n→{0,1} that's computable at all is computable by a linear-size circuit; with a universal set, of course we're up against Natural Proofs and the other terrifying barriers.
On the other hand, if we consider gate sets over a 3- or 4-symbol alphabet (for example), then a wider set of possibilities opens up---and at least to my knowledge, those possibilities have never been fully mapped out from the standpoint of complexity theory (please correct me if I'm wrong). I know that the possible gate sets are studied extensively under the name of "clones" in universal algebra; I wish I were more conversant with that literature so that I knew what if anything the results from that area mean for circuit complexity.
In any case, it doesn't seem out of the question that there are other dramatic circuit lower bounds ripe for the proving, if we simply expand the class of gate sets over finite alphabets that we're willing to consider. If I'm wrong, please tell me why!