Questions tagged [pr.probability]

Questions in probability theory

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6
votes
1answer
156 views

Big-O bounds on the k-th largest element of iid Gaussians

I'm interested in the following problem. Let $X_1, \dots, X_n$ be iid samples with a $N(0,1)$ distribution. Let $X_{[k]}$ be the $k$-th largest element of $\{X_1, \dots, X_n\}$, so e.g. $X_{[1]} = \...
1
vote
1answer
59 views

How to play the following game? (placing balls into bins)

Let $n,\ell\in\mathbb N$ for some $n\gg \ell\gg 1$. The goal is to pick two sequences of numbers, $x_1,\ldots,x_\ell$ and $y_1,\ldots,y_\ell$ such that $$\Sigma_{i=1}^\ell x_i = n\quad{}\mbox{and}\...
1
vote
0answers
47 views

Mapping of entire balls using Locality Sensitive Hashing (LSH)

LSH functions are useful for approximate nearest neighbor search. They are usually defined, for distance metric $d$ and $c>1$ as follows: A family of hash functions is $(r, cr, p_1, p_2)$-LSH ...
4
votes
2answers
161 views

If I know pretty well '(a,b)', I know pretty well 'a', or 'b', or 'a xor b'

I've a quite simple problem: let's imagine I have a couple of bits $(a,b) \in \{0,1\}^2$ sampled uniformly at random. Then, I give a function of these bits $f(a,b)$ (it can be any function, including ...
3
votes
0answers
57 views

Probability of detecting small bias of a die in the low confidence regime / balls and bins

We are given a biased $m$-sided die: one of the sides has probability $\frac{1}{m} + \gamma$ and all the rest have probability $\frac{1}{m} - \frac{\gamma}{m-1}$ each. The goal is to figure out which ...
5
votes
2answers
110 views

Statistical Distance Growth Given K Independent Copies

Let $X$ and $Y$ be distributions with statistical distance (total variation distance) at most $d$. What is the best upper bound you can give on the statistical distance between $k$ independent copies ...
6
votes
1answer
176 views

Infinite process balls in bins problem

Given $n$ balls and $m$ bins, let us consider an infinite process, where in each time slot we throw a ball at a random bin. When all $n$ balls are thrown, we take the balls from the bin with the ...
1
vote
0answers
44 views

Are there any continuous-time stochastic processes in which transition probabilities are discontinuous functions over time? [closed]

In stochastic processes, like homogeneous Markov processes, Poisson processes, Queueing systems etc., the functions that represent (transition) probabilities are continuous over time. This is also ...
7
votes
2answers
204 views

Is uniform convergence faster for low-entropy distributions?

Let $\mathcal D$ be a probability distribution on $\{0,1\}^d$. Let $X_1, \cdots, X_n \in \{0,1\}^d$ be i.i.d. samples from $\mathcal D$. Let $\mu \in [0,1]^d$ be the mean of $\mathcal D$ and let $\...
2
votes
1answer
77 views

Empirical Rademacher averages versus Hoeffdings bound

Let $M$ be finite set with $n$ distinct elements. I want to probalistically approximate the relative counts $\frac{|P(Q)|}{|M|}$ of $Q \subseteq M$, where $P(Q) = |P \cap M|$. An upper-bound for ...
2
votes
1answer
99 views

Sample Complexity for Order Statistics

I have a sample complexity question which seems fairly basic, but for which I'm having trouble finding a reference. Let $F$ be an unknown distribution over $[0,1]$. Denote by $X_{k:n}$ the $k$th of $...
2
votes
1answer
104 views

A coupon collector type problem with changing probabilities

Suppose we are flipping coins starting at some time $t$. At time $t$ the probability we obtain heads is $\frac{1}{\sqrt{t}}$. If the coin lands tails, at time $t+1$ the probability of heads is now $\...
2
votes
1answer
119 views

Recovering a rank-one matrix from its eigendecomposition after randomized rounding

Let $A = xy^T$ be a rank-$1$ matrix, and suppose every entry of $A$ is in $[0,1]$. We can create a binary matrix $A_{\rm rounded}$ by setting $$ [A_{\rm rounded}]_{ij} = \begin{cases} 1 & \mbox{ ...
4
votes
1answer
105 views

Probability of a $k$-path in a random graph

Assume that $G\in G(n,p)$; if $p=\frac{\ln n +\ln \ln n +c(n)}{n}$, the following fact is well known: \begin{eqnarray} Pr [G\mbox{ has a Hamiltonian cycle}]= \begin{cases} 1 & (c(n)\...
0
votes
0answers
29 views

Expected size of the min-cut, under edge perturbations

Suppose we have a graph $G(V, E)$. Assume that the min-cut of this graph is given $C=(A/B)$ and denote the size of the cut with $|C|$. Create a random modification of the graph: Drop each ...
5
votes
1answer
124 views

Heterogeneous Hoeffding/McDiarmid

Hoeffding's inequality for independent random variables $a_i\le X_i\le b_i$ states that their sum has sub-Gaussian tails, decaying as $\exp(-2t/\sum_i (b_i-a_i)^2)$. Question: Are there any ...
1
vote
1answer
84 views

Using a probability distribution in the fooling set technique for communication complexity

I'm reading through the communication complexity book of Kushilevitz and Nisan, and in the section about fooling sets I encountered this proposition: Let $\mu$ be a probability distribution of $X\...
3
votes
1answer
133 views

Tighter Probability Bounds

Let $\mathcal{F}$ be a class of binary functions on a probability space $\Omega$. For $f \in \mathcal{F}$, let $P(f) =\mathbb{E}(f(Z))$ and $P_n(f) = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^n f(Z_i)$ where $Z_i$'s are ...
-1
votes
1answer
147 views

Application of the inequality with expectations

Let $\Vert\cdot\Vert$ is a norm in $R^n$. Let $x_1,\dots,x_N$ non-independent Rademacher random variables random variables (variables which are uniform on $\{-1, 1\}$). . By $E$ we denote an ...
4
votes
1answer
165 views

Support size lower bound for $k$-wise uniform distribution

So I have this question which I can't seem to find a solution to: Prove that if $X = (X_1, ... X_n)$ is $k$-wise uniform* and each $X_i$ is Boolean then $\left|\operatorname{Supp}(X)\right| \geq \...
2
votes
1answer
94 views

Other Uniform Bound

In theoretical machine learning, VC-dimension (VCD) and Rademacher average (RA) are two frequently used uniform bounds, providing better sample complexity than bounds such as Chernoff bound and ...
2
votes
0answers
40 views

Is there a complete and finite axiom scheme for conditional independence? (Graphoids)

Note: This is a better-written version of an unanswered question asked before on MathOverflow. Question: Is there a complete and finite axiom scheme for conditional probability? If so, is ...
0
votes
1answer
74 views

Does this pairwise independent random process have expected max load $\sqrt{n}$?

This is an extension to the question about balls into bins: Example of pairwise independent random process with expected max load $\sqrt{n}$ . There the following question is asked and answered in ...
7
votes
1answer
132 views

Random Deterministic Automata

I am familiar with the term of random graphs, such as $G(n,p)$- a distribution over simple undirected graphs with $n$ vertices, where each edge appears in a graph w.p. $p$. That is, each graph $G=(V,E)...
4
votes
1answer
267 views

Janson-type inequality, limited dependence

So I am trying to figure out an upper bound on the probability of the following... This is a question related to a problem I am working on (not for a class, just for fun) Let $\Omega=\{X_{1},\dots,...
1
vote
0answers
40 views

Problem dependent lower bound for stochastic bandits with full information

Suppose you have a $K$ armed stochastic bandit problem but with full information. There are $K$ arms with mean rewards $\mu_1,...,\mu_K$. At each step we have to select an arm, collect the reward from ...
12
votes
1answer
653 views

What is the proof of this nonstandard version of Azuma's inequality?

In Appendix B of Boosting and Differential Privacy by Dwork et al., the authors state the following result without proof and refer to it as Azuma's inequality: Let $C_1, \dots, C_k$ be real-valued ...
3
votes
2answers
203 views

Hardness of exact binomial tail bounds

Chernoff bounds, in their various forms, bound the tails of a Binomial$(n,p)$ random variable $B$. Define the function $F(n,p,t):=P(B>t)$. Naively, computing $F$ requires exponential (in $n$) time. ...
6
votes
1answer
197 views

A random walk that moves to less-visited nodes

Consider a random walk on an undirected graph that keeps track of how many times it has visited every node. At each step, it moves to the node among its neighbors which has been visited the least ...
3
votes
1answer
277 views

Relation between variance and mutual information

Given two discrete random variables $X,Y$ such that $X,Y \in \mathbb{R}$ and $0 \leq X,Y \leq 1$, is it true that $$|\text{Cov}[X,Y] \leq \sqrt{\frac{1}{2} \text{I}[X,Y]}|. $$ This bound may be ...
6
votes
1answer
124 views

Directed graph with bounded in-deg can be partitioned in a balanced way

I want to prove that for all $n$, there exists a constant $c(n)$ such that if $G=(V,E)$ is a directed graph with in-degree bounded by $n$, it is possible to partition the set of vertices $V$ into two ...
9
votes
0answers
150 views

Fourth(?) moment method for minimum value

I would like to lower bound the quantity $\Pr[X\ge t, Y\ge t]=\Pr[\min(X,Y)\ge t]$ using the small moments of $X$, $Y$ and $XY$. In particular I am interested in the case where $E[X]=E[Y]=0$, but $E[X ...
3
votes
1answer
159 views

Lower bound on probability of getting two close points in a sample of $n$ points

Let $D\subseteq \mathbb{R}^k$. Assume that $Pr_{u,v\leftarrow U_D}[|u-v| <B]>p$ for some $B,p$, where $|u-v|$ is the L1 distance of the vectors. $S\subseteq D$ is obtained by sampling $n$ ...
6
votes
2answers
249 views

What is the connection between moments of Gaussians and perfect matchings of graphs?

Today, I heard the following statement in a talk: The 4th moment of a $1$-dimensional Gaussian distribution with mean $0$ and variance $1$ is the same as the number of perfect matchings of a ...
6
votes
2answers
323 views

Reference for the number of samples needed to distinguish two probability distributions

I am looking for a reference (and/or a full proof) for this statement: $O(1/\epsilon^2)$ samples suffice to distinguish any two probability distributions with variation distance $\epsilon$. I ...
3
votes
3answers
167 views

Approaches for Theoretical Analysis of Estimates of Probability Distributions

Consider that you have a probability distribution p of some quantity X and you have obtained (via some algorithm) an estimate q of p according to some definition of closeness. Are there methods/papers ...
6
votes
1answer
317 views

Understanding proof of Theorem 3.3 in Karp's “Probabilistic Recurrence Relations”

Background: In Karp's paper on Probabilistic Recurrence Relations, he develops tail-bounds for random variables satisfying the following recurrence: $$ T(x) = a(x) + T(h(x)) $$ where $T(x)$ is a ...
6
votes
1answer
250 views

Expected Kolmogorov complexity under Kolmogorov complexity distribution

If $K(w)$ is the Kolmogorov complexity of a string $w$, where programs are prefix-encoded so $\sum_{w} 2^{-K(w)} \leq 1$, what is $$\lim_{n\to\infty} \frac{\sum_{|w|=n}2^{-K(w)} K(w)}{\sum_{|w|=n} 2^{...
2
votes
1answer
157 views

Probability of random variable $X$ less than $max(Y_i)$

For $\lambda > \mu$, consider independent random variables (i) $X \sim Pois(\mu)$ and (ii) $Y_i \sim Pois(\lambda),\;i\in{1,2}$. Question : Can we upper-bound the following? $$\mathbb{P}\big(X\...
7
votes
1answer
289 views

Minimum Spanning tree on a complete “random” graph

Consider a complete undirected graph with $n$ vertices, $K_n$. Let weight of an edge between vertices $i\; \& \;j$ be a random variable $E_{ij}$. Let $E_{ij} \sim exp(\lambda)$, where $exp(\lambda)...
9
votes
2answers
547 views

Statistical distance between uniform and biased coin

Let $U$ be the uniform distribution over $n$ bits, and let $D$ be the distribution over $n$ bits where the bits are independent and each bit is $1$ with probability $1/2-\epsilon$. Is it true that ...
1
vote
1answer
81 views

Issue with inequalities involving probablities

I'm reading this paper http://eccc.hpi-web.de/report/2016/044/download/, at page 7 you can see this equation: $$ \sum_t \mathbb{E}_{w \in W} [|p_t - p_{t|w,w}|] = 2 \sum_t \mathbb{E}_{w \in W} [\max(...
7
votes
2answers
220 views

Can the “mutual independence” condition in the Lovász local lemma be weakened?

The Lovász local lemma, as stated in Corollary 5.1.2 here, is given as follows. Lemma. Let $A_1, \ldots, A_k$ be events such that each $A_i$ has probability at most $p$ and such that each $A_i$ is ...
1
vote
1answer
105 views

The noise distribution on $F_2^n$: probability of landing in a subspace versus a coset

Let $V = F_2^n$ be the $n$-dimensional vector space over the field of two elements. The $\epsilon$-noise distribution on $V$, denoted $\mu_\epsilon$, is a probability distribution on $V$ for which ...
1
vote
0answers
97 views

Percolation probabilities

I have a finite undirected graph with a probability $p_e$ given for each edge $e$. This gives a random graph by removing each edge e with probability $1-p_e$ independently of the others. I'm ...
13
votes
1answer
383 views

Expected minimum influence of a random Boolean function $f\colon\{-1,1\}^n \to \{-1,1\}$

For a Boolean function $f\colon\{-1,1\}^n \to \{-1,1\}$, the influence of the $i$th variable is defined as $$ \operatorname{Inf}_i[f] \stackrel{\rm def}{=} \Pr_{x\sim\{-1,1\}^n}[ f(x) \neq f(x^{\oplus ...
1
vote
0answers
113 views

Maximal correlation vs correlation coefficient when one RV is Gaussian

Last week I asked a question on MOF (see here), but I got no reply. So I am asking my question here. Let a pair of random variables $(X,Y)$ be continuous random variables (i.e., they both have ...
1
vote
1answer
109 views

Average Regret Bounds for Linear Stochastic Bandits

I am reading this paper on linear stochastic bandits : http://papers.nips.cc/paper/4417-improved-algorithms-for-linear-stochastic-bandits.pdf All the results are stated in a high-probability ...
8
votes
1answer
511 views

Exponential Concentration Inequality for Higher-order moments of Gaussian Random Variables

Let $X_1,\ldots, X_n$ be $n$ i.i.d. copies of Gaussian random variable $X \sim N(0, \sigma^2)$. It is known that \begin{align} \mathbb{P}\Bigl( \Bigl|\frac{1}{n}\sum_{j=1}^n X_j \Bigl| >t\Bigr) &...
6
votes
1answer
209 views

Graph that maximizes minimum hitting time?

Let $G$ be some connected bidirectional (or undirected) graph. We define a random walk as a walk that begins at a vertex chosen uniformly at random, and at each step proceeds to one of its current ...