# Questions tagged [pr.probability]

Questions in probability theory

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### Sufficient Statistics of $X$ from $Y$

I am reading the paper New Monotone and Lower Bounds in Unconditional Two Party Computation by Wolf and Wullschleger. In Definition 2 on the third page, they define $f(x):=P_{Y|X}(\cdot|x)$ and they ...
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### Upper bound on Chaitin's constant for lambda calculus and SKI combinatory logic

I'd like to have proof that Chaitin's constant for lambda calculus and/or SKI combinatory logic is pretty small. I've found some approximations (accurate to about 63 binary digits) for truing machines ...
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### Time-inhomogeneous Markov Chains

I'm trying to find out what is known about time-inhomogeneous ergodic Markov Chains where the transition matrix can vary over time. All textbooks and lecture notes I could find initially introduce ...
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### randomness extraction of real valued sequences of numbers

I have a sequence of numbers $x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n, \dots \in \mathbb{R}$ I would like to extract fair bits from that sequence. My first thought was to use the Von Neumann extractor. For a ...
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### Policy Adjustment in Markov Decision Process

I was using MDP on my work to make optimal decision. I used discrete time, finite state MDP. I assumed that I will have an initial parameters, like the Reward/Cost, state transition probabilities and ...
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### What is the probability of a virus spreading through a network given a virus source node?

Model: Consider an infinite undirected connected graph $\mathcal{G}=(\mathcal{V},\mathcal{E})$. At time $t=0$, a given virus node $s\in\mathcal{V}$ starts infecting the network $\mathcal{G}$. ...
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### What is the optimal strategy for this 2 player game?

Let some finite array of integers is given initially. There is a number k which is initially '0'. In a move, a player will select a number from the array arr[i] and change k to gcd(k,arr[i]). Also, ...
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### How to find a merge tree for a set of words?

Consider a set $S \subseteq \Sigma^n$ where $\Sigma$ is a finite alphabet and $p : \Sigma \rightarrow [0,1]$ is a probability function. Let $T$ be a tree leaf-labeled by the elements of $S$. Consider ...
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### Probability for an element to appear in at least one set

Say that we have $k$ sets, each with cardinality $N$, where the elements in each set are taken at random from $M \ge N$ possible ones. The elements in each set are known to be distinct. What is the ...
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### correlation in an almost independent set of random variables

Suppose I have a set of $n$ binary random variables $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ that sit on a line, and assume that $\Pr(X_i=0)=\delta$ for all $i$. In addition, assume that any two subsets of variables that ...
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### Sums of products of bernoulli random variables

Let $x_1 \ldots x_a,y_1 \ldots y_b$ be independent random variables taking values +1 or -1. Consider the sum $$S = \sum_{i,j} x_iy_j.$$ I wish to upper bound the probability $P(|S| > t)$. The ...
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### Convergence speed in Lévy’s continuity theorem

I suppose the answer to my question follows from the proof of the Lévy’s continuity theorem, but probably one could suggest me a direct reference to the corresponding answer. The question is as ...
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### Looking for a reference: equivalence of (semi)computable (semi)measures and PTMs

I'm working with computable probability distributions over all finite strings. These are usually formalized as the space of all semicomputable semimeasures. Informally: a probability distribution is ...
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### Concentration Bounds for Dependent Rounding

Consider the following random process which is defined on $n$ numbers $0\leq x_1,\ldots,x_n\leq 1$: At each step, pick an arbitrary number, say $x_i$. Then randomly (and independently) change its ...
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### Current tightest bounds for critical 3-SAT density

I'm interested in the critical 3-satisfiability (3-SAT) density $\alpha$. It's conjectured that such $\alpha$ exists: if the number of randomly generated 3-SAT clauses is $(\alpha + \epsilon) n$ or ...
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